THE WIDER TAPE
The board is the five markets I find interesting. This is the opposite exercise: one whole venue, every listed contract, read cold. Most of what a prediction-market venue lists never trades — and which questions go untouched is itself a read. That's the data I use to write missing-market specs.
Read-only. No trade links, nothing to click through, not financial advice. Venue: Pascal (private beta) — numbers straight from its public data API, USDC notional.
THE VENUE AT A GLANCE
CONTRACTS LISTED
815
NEVER TRADED
661 (81%)
QUIET LAST 24H
770
24H NOTIONAL, WHOLE VENUE
$2,425
113 events, 815 contracts, and 661 of them have never printed a single trade. That's not a dunk — every venue's tape looks like this before the crowd shows up. It's the honest baseline: attention, not listings, is the scarce thing.
WHERE THE VOLUME ACTUALLY IS
| MARKET | MARK | 24H | OI |
|---|---|---|---|
DC Open: Pegula vs Frech, Jul 30, Moneyline JESSICA PEGULA | 80% | $460 | $545 |
AMZN move after Q2 2026 earnings [90%, 110% OF PRIOR CLOSE] | 92% | $271 | $397 |
MSFT move after Q2 2026 earnings [90%, 110% OF PRIOR CLOSE] | 99% | $227 | $379 |
Largest company by market cap - Jul 31, 2026 APPLE | 77% | $196 | $300 |
Fed decision in September NO CHANGE | 44% | $116 | $210 |
2026 F1 drivers' champion KIMI ANTONELLI | 75% | $113 | $98 |
Cubs vs Cardinals, Jul 30, Moneyline CHICAGO CUBS | 55% | $102 | $149 |
2026 F1 drivers' champion LEWIS HAMILTON | 11% | $100 | $1,389 |
TOP 8 BY 24H TAKER NOTIONAL · PULLED 2026-07-30 20:33:34 UTC · REFRESHES ~60S
WHY I READ AN EMPTY TAPE
A market with no trades is a question priced by nobody — which means the listing itself was a guess about what people want to know. When most of a venue's guesses go untouched, the interesting question isn't "why is it quiet" — it's what would a market people actually showed up for look like? That's the missing-market problem, and it's the one I work on daily.